This Is How Bad the COVID Outbreak Is in Your State

Based on the rate of daily new coronavirus cases, here's how your state is faring.

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Midway through January, the new year is already off to a bumpy start: Even with successful COVID vaccines now available to some, distribution has been a challenge, and in the meantime, the coronavirus pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the country. While there has been a promising downward trend in numbers over the past week, new cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are still staggeringly high nationwide. "I wouldn't let our guard down," Amesh Adalja, MD, an infectious disease expert with Johns Hopkins University, recently told CNN. "Biologically speaking, nothing is changing. … The virus has established itself in the human population and it's not going anywhere." Yes, COVID is a problem across the U.S., but how bad is the outbreak in your state specifically?

There are countless ways to measure the level of outbreak in any particular area. The experts at COVID Act Now use several categories to determine each state's overall level of risk: the daily new case rate, positive test rate, infection rate, ICU capacity, and number of contact tracers hired. To keep things simple, we are focusing on the rate of daily new cases per 100,000 people, which is one of the most effective ways to determine how rapidly COVID levels are rising in a given state. Using a color-coded system, COVID Act Now marks a daily new case rate as green for "on track to contain COVID" if a state is seeing less than 1 new case per 100,000 people, but there are not currently any states that meet this limit.

Instead, daily new case rates are yellow ("slow disease growth") for 1 to 9 cases per 100,000 people; orange ("at risk of outbreak") for 10 to 24 cases per 100,000 people; red ("active or imminent outbreak") for 25 to 74 cases per 100,000 people; or dark red ("severe outbreak") for 75 or more cases per 100,000 people. As of Jan. 19, an overwhelming 45 states are still red or dark red. Despite numbers going down, nearly every U.S. state remains at an elevated risk level, making it hard to imagine what total containment looks like.

From fewest to most daily new coronavirus cases, here is how your state is faring. And to see what you shouldn't wear to stay safe, check out The CDC Warns Against Using These 6 Face Masks.

50
Hawaii

Hawaii
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9.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (yellow)

49
North Dakota

downtown fargo and the fargo movie theater in north dakota
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21.0 daily new cases per 100,000 people (orange)

48
Washington

space needle and seattle overview
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23.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (orange)

And for the latest coronavirus news, The CDC Just Issued This Alarming New COVID Warning.

47
Oregon

Portland OR view
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24.5 daily new cases per 100,000 people (orange)

46
Minnesota

Minnesota
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24.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (orange)

And for more on your coronavirus risk, If You're Lacking This One Thing, You're at Greater Risk of Long COVID.

45
Michigan

detroit michigan skyline
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25.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

44
Vermont

Downtown skyline view of Montpelier, USA. Montpelier is the capital city of Vermont.
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26.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

43
Alaska

Anchorage Skyline with a winter reflection
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32.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

42
Colorado

skyline of denver colorado
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33.5 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

41
Missouri

downtown st. louis missouri
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34.6 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

40
South Dakota

rapid city, south dakota
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34.9 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

39
Iowa

The skyline of Davenport, Iowa at sunset with the Mississippi River in the foreground
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37.6 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

38
Montana

billings montana
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37.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

37
Idaho

The skyline of downtown Boise, Idaho at twilight
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40.6 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

36
Nebraska

lincoln nebraska
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41.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

35
Wisconsin

Madison, Wisconsin, USA downtown skyline at dusk on Lake Monona.
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42.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

34
Illinois

Chicago, Illinois
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43.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

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33
Maryland

baltimore skyline
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43.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

32
Maine

beautiful lighthouse during sunset in portland Maine
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45.3 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

31
New Mexico

santa fe new mexico skyline
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48.9 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

30
Pennsylvania

Lancaster is a city located in South Central Pennsylvania which serves as the seat of Pennsylvania's Lancaster County and one of the oldest inland towns in the United States
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49.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

29
Indiana

indianapolis indiana
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53.9 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

28
Ohio

cleveland ohio skyline
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56.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

27
Wyoming

Casper is a city in and the county seat of Natrona County, Wyoming, United States. Casper is the second largest city in the state
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57.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

26
Nevada

las vegas strip in nevada
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57.5 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

25
Alabama

montgomery alabama
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58.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

24
New Hampshire

Portsmouth is the third oldest city in the United States
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58.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

23
North Carolina

Downtown Raleigh, North Carolina, USA Drone Skyline Aerial
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59.0 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

22
Kansas

springtime view in downtown Topeka, Kansas, USA
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59.3 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

21
West Virginia

charleston west virginia skyline
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60.0 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

20
Florida

tampa florida skyline
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60.3 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

19
Tennessee

Knoxville Tennessee
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61.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

18
Mississippi

Jackson is the capital and most populous city of the U.S. state of Mississippi.
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65.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

17
New Jersey

Atlantic City skyline including the Revel casino at dawn. Atlantic City located on the Jersey shore is a resort city on Absecon Island in Atlantic County, New Jersey. Atlantic City is known for its two mile long boardwalk, gambling casinos, great nightlife, beautiful beaches, and the Miss America Pageant.
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65.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

16
Louisiana

new orleans louisiana skyline
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66.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

15
Connecticut

hartford connecticut skyline
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67.2 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

14
Kentucky

louisville kentucky skyline
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72.2 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

13
Virginia

roanoke virginia skyline
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72.2 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

12
Texas

Houston Texas skyline
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72.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

And if you're worried about getting sick, learn The Easiest Way to Tell If You Have COVID Before Symptoms, Study Says.

11
Delaware

wilmington delaware at night
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74.6 daily new cases per 100,000 people (red)

10
Arkansas

little rock arkansas skyline
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75.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

9
Massachusetts

boston skyline and boston commons
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75.4 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

8
Georgia

river in savannah georgia
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75.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

7
Utah

salt lake city skyline
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77.6 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

6
Oklahoma

tulsa oklahoma skyline
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77.9 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

5
New York

New York City Skyline on the East River with Brooklyn Bridge at sunset.
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78.0 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

And for more on the future of the pandemic, The Moderna CEO Just Made This Scary Prediction About COVID.

4
Rhode Island

providence rhode island skyline
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92.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

3
South Carolina

charleston south carolina
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93.8 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

2
California

lombard street in san francisco california
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94.7 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

1
Arizona

The skyline of Tucson, Arizona with cacti in the foreground
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101.1 daily new cases per 100,000 people (dark red)

And for more on the states facing the worst spikes, These Are the Only States Where COVID Is Still Rising.

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