Your Risk of Contracting Coronavirus Is Lowest in This State

Cases are spiking around the country, but you're safe in this state, recent data says.

Much of the country is currently experiencing a concerning rise of coronavirus cases. Places like Texas, Arizona, and Florida have all had to reinstate certain lockdown orders that were previously removed during reopening—from closing bars and gyms again to requiring that masks be worn in public. Top health officials are even making pleas to the public to do their part, fearing the possibility that the country could see 100,000 new cases daily. Not all states, however, have been unable to contain the virus. And according to a new data model, the state where you are least likely to be exposed to the coronavirus is Hawaii.

In a color-coded interactive map designed to assess risk in terms of how severely the coronavirus is spreading in each state, Hawaii appears green, meaning it is considered to be "on track" for containing the virus.

State Risk Map
Harvard Global Health Institute/Microsoft AI/Screenshot by Best Life

Developed by Harvard Global Health Institute in collaboration with CovidActNow, Covid-Local, and several other sources, the map categorizes each state's risk level based on the number of new daily cases per 1oo,ooo people. At the time this article was published, Hawaii was one of only two states in the country to appear green on the map—the other was Vermont. In order to be categorized as such, a state's most recent seven-day average of new cases per day per 100,000 people must be less than one. Hawaii's was 0.7 while Vermont's was 1, though the latter is still considered to be on track to contain the virus and was shaded green despite its average technically not being less than one.

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In total, Hawaii has reported only 883 cases during the pandemic, resulting in 18 deaths. In stark contrast, Arizona, which is currently the state where you'd be most at risk of contracting the coronavirus, has an average of 42.2 new daily cases per 100,000 people. It has a total of 73,908 cases to date, and there have been 1,588 virus-related deaths. And for more on the the spread of COVID-19, check out This Is How Likely You Are to Get Coronavirus This Year, Doctor Says.

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